Prince Edward County, Ontario, Canada.
Updated: October 15, 2024
Sustainable Development Goal (SDG)
SDG 11: Make communities inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable.
Population
- An in-migration of 6,240 people to PEC from 2016 to 2021, attributed partly to the pandemic and remote work, impacting housing supply and prices. This is compared to 3,515 in the previous census period.
- An out-migration of 3,562 residents due to relocation, compared to 2,532 in the previous census period. Reasons for relocation vary, with factors such as housing affordability, gentrification, and real estate trends playing roles.
The growth rate of 3.9% from 2016 to 2021 compares to Ontario’s population increase of 5.8% during this timeframe. Within PEC, the Village of Wellington experienced a 12.8% growth rate, while the Town of Picton’s population grew by 2.6%.
- Stable local birth rate, but a rise in the population of 0-9 year olds due to new families moving in, causing capacity strains on primary classrooms and child care waitlists.
Population by age
*Median age is the age that divides a population into two numerically equally sized groups; that is, half the people are younger than this age and half are older.
Population shifts by age
Ages 15 to 64: In 2021, PEC's working age population ages 15 to 64 comprise 54.9 percent of the population, compared to the provincial average of 65.6 percent. This age range is declining (from 58.6 percent in 2016). PEC is projected to have less than 50 per cent of its population aged 15–64 by 2046.
Younger generations, such as millennials and Generation Z, are more educated and diverse than previous generations. These generations, who are still young, are more exposed to ethnocultural, religious and gender diversity and have grown up in an interconnected technological world that has a significant impact on their values and lifestyles. These generations now make up a considerable share of the working-age population, leading to changes in the labour market. (A generational portrait of Canada’s aging population from the 2021 Census, Statistics Canada)
In PEC, the inflow of highly experienced and skilled early retirees contributes to the large active volunteer base.
The fact that baby boomers are reaching more advanced ages is gradually putting more pressure on the health and home care system, as well as on pension plans, although many people in this generation are currently choosing to stay in the workforce longer. As well, in the midst of high job vacancies and historically low unemployment, Canada faces record retirements from an aging labour force. (A generational portrait of Canada’s aging population from the 2021 Census, Statistics Canada)
Further considerations for senior support include vulnerability stemming from the increased likelihood of ill health, low income, impaired mobility, social supports, more susceptibility to victimization and financial fraud, and social and geographical isolation in rural areas. (Rural Ontario Institute), (Prince Edward County Police Services Board. Community Safety and Well-being Plan)
Birth rates
| Year | Total births | Ages <=19 | 20-24 | 25-29 | 30-34 | 35+ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 188 | 8 | 37 | 57 | 62 | 24 | ||
| 2020 | 190 | 4 | 23 | 58 | 58 | 47 |
Visible Minorities
In 2021 in Prince Edward, 3.1 percent of the population was classified as a visible minority, an increase of 0.9 percent since 2016. However, this is still far below the provincial rate of 34.3%.
All Welcome Here Rural BIPOC Association is focused on connecting residents to each other, to anti-racist education, and to pathways to local action. See details at allwelcomehere.ca Survey results released in February 2022 showed that as more people choose to call PEC home, our BIPOC community is also growing. As the BIPOC community grows, so do reports of racist incidents happening across PEC. See the survey results.
Identifying as Indigenous
In 2021, 3.2 percent of Prince Edward residents identified as Indigenous, compared to the province at 2.9 percent. That’s up 6.7 percent since 2016. Of those, 2.1 percent reported a First Nations identity and 0.8 percent reported a Métis identity. An additional 0.2 percent reported other Indigenous identities.
Tyendinaga Mohawk Territory is our neighbouring community.
Immigrants
In 2021, 10 percent of the population was foreign-born, 20 percentage points lower than the provincial average (30%). The percent of the population that is foreign-born is down 0.9 percentage points from 2016 (10.9%).
New to the community?
The Newcomers Group provides an opportunity to meet other people who are new to the area as well as share all the great restaurants, shops and groups you’ve learned about. You can also bring any questions you might have. Guest speakers will be invited to share information about their organizations. Reserve your space at peclibrary.org.
Gender Diverse
The 2021 Statistics Canada Census of Population included for the first time a question on gender and the precision of “at birth” on the sex question, allowing all cisgender, transgender and non-binary individuals to report their gender. Canada is the first country to collect and publish data on gender diversity from a national census.
About 4% of Canadians aged 15 years and older identify as lesbian, gay, bisexual, or with a different sexual orientation than heterosexual. In PEC, that would be over 1,000 individuals.
Over time, the acceptance and understanding of gender and sexual diversity has evolved. Further, there has been social and legislative recognition of transgender, non-binary and LGBTQ2+ people in general. Younger generations may be more comfortable reporting their gender identity than older generations. (The Daily, Statistics Canada 2022-04-27)
Locally, support and allyship locally is shown through:
- County Pride events and Rainbow registered businesses
- GSA gender & sexuality alliance at Prince Edward Collegiate.
- Discover YOUth! is an all-inclusive weekly drop-in for 2SLGBTQ+ youth and allies. The program features guest speakers, field trips, art projects and of course – snacks! For youth ages 12+. Have Questions? Visit www.peclibrary.org/lgbtq. Transportation can be arranged for youth in need.
- More can be done, for example youth have asked for consistent access to sexual health education that is inclusive and relevant, and for mental health support from qualified professionals with lived experience.
PEC’s population drastically increases in the summer due to tourism. Prince Edward County was identified in Travel & Leisure Magazine’s list of top 50 places to visit in the world.
In 2022, there were 1.13 million tourist visits to PEC. This is 4% below 2019 numbers; 2019 is recognized in the tourism sector as a crucial benchmark year, as it precedes the pandemic fluctuations. The County is seeing fewer visitors, but those that come enjoy longer stays, and spend more money. Since 2019, repeat visits, those by the same tourist, have increased. On average, each visitor to PEC in 2022 “came back” 10 times. In 2019, the return rate was half that. (VisitPEC)
The population of seasonal residents (those who own seasonal properties) has been increasing faster than the permanent population. In 2022, the estimated number of seasonal residents (ages 18+) is 8,644.
That’s 25% of the total permanent and seasonal adult population (ages 18+). (MPAC)
Planning services for fluctuating populations is challenging. Seasonal populations vary by time of year, average age, activities, participation in the local community, and healthcare needs. One of the greatest impacts of seasonal populations is on emergency services and related infrastructure.
Population density
Population density
Prince Edward County is larger in km² than the city of Toronto, with a small population spread over 1050 km². PEC’s population density is low at 24.4 people per sq/km (1,050 sq km) compared to Toronto at 4,428 people per sq/km.
| Notes: *2023 is an intercensal year and contains Statistics Canada population estimates 2011 - no migration data was collected in the National Household Survey |
Sources
Born Ontario birth rates (custom request)
MPAC seasonal resident data (custom request)
Ontario Population Projections, 2023-2051
Statistics Canada:
- Population estimate in 2023 Statistics Canada Annual Demographic Estimates: Subprovincial Areas, July 1, 2023
- Prince Edward County 2021 Census Profile
- Prince Edward County 2016 Census Profile
- Statistics Canada. Focus on Geography Series, 2011 Census
- National Household Survey (NHS) Profile 2011
- Prince Edward County 2006 Census Profile
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